Vägen mot ett Irankrig
Värd att läsa i sin helhet för de
som läser engelska. Visar om inte annat hur ‘true belivers’ i vita huset gång på gång sagt nej till förhandlingar med Iran och till
otaliga fredsförslag från olika arabstater när det gäller Israel-Palestina. Intressant är även Israels roll i den amerikanska
mellanöstern politiken. När Sharon sade nej var detta också ett nej från Bush administrationen. Vice-president Cheney och Rumsfeld
framgår också som de verkliga arkitekterna bakom Bush administrationens utrikespolitik.
src="http://www.esquire.com/cm/esquire/images/iran-1-1107-lg.jpg" alt="Two former high-ranking policy experts from the Bush
Adminstration say the U.S. has been gearing up for a war with Iran for years, despite claiming otherwise. It'll be Iraq all over
again." />
Print The Secret History of the Impending War with Iran
That the White House Doesn’t Want You to Know
At 5:30 a.m. on September 12, they walked the list to the office
of
the deputy secretary of state, Richard Armitage. Powell took it
straight to the White House.Mann and Leverett didn’t
know each other then, but they were already
traveling down parallel tracks. Months before September 11, Mann had
been negotiatingwith the Iranian diplomat at the UN. After the
attacks, the meetings continued, sometimes alone and sometimes with
their Russiancounterpart sitting in. Soon they traded the conference
room for the Delegates’ Lounge, an airy two-story bar with ashtraysfor
all the foreigners who were used to smoking indoors. One day, up on the
second floor where the windows overlooked the EastRiver, the diplomat
told her that Iran was ready to cooperate unconditionally, a phrase
that had seismic diplomatic implications.Unconditional talks are what
the U.S. had been demanding as a precondition to any official
diplomatic contact between the U.S. andIran. And it would be the first
chance since the Islamic revolution for any kind of rapprochement. ”It
was revolutionary,” Mannsays. ”It could have changed the world.”
A few weeks later, after signing on to Condoleezza Rice’s staff as
the new Iranexpert in the National Security Council, Mann flew to
Europe with Ryan Crocker — then a deputy assistant secretary of state
– tohold talks with a team of Iranian diplomats. Meeting in a
light-filled conference room at the old UN building in Geneva,they
hammered out plans for Iranian help in the war against the Taliban. The
Iranians agreed to provide assistance if any Americanwas shot down
near their territory, agreed to let the U.S. send food in through their
border, and even agreed to restrain some”really bad Afghanis,” like a
rabidly anti-American warlord named Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, quietly
putting him under house arrest inTehran. These were significant
concessions. At the same time, special envoy James Dobbins was having
very public and warmdiscussions in Bonn with the Iranian deputy
foreign minister as they worked together to set up a new government for
Afghanistan.And the Iranians seemed eager to help in more tactical
ways as well. They had intimate knowledge of Taliban strategic
capabilitiesand they wanted to share it with the Americans.
One day during the U.S. bombing campaign, Mann and herIranian
counterparts were sitting around the wooden conference table
speculating about the future Afghani constitution. Suddenlythe Iranian
who knew so much about intelligence matters started pounding on the
table. ”Enough of that!” he shouted, unfurling amap of Afghanistan.
Here was a place the Americans needed to bomb. And here, and here, he angrily jabbed his fingerat the map.
Leverett spent those days in his office at the State Department
building, watching the revolution in the MiddleEast and coming up with
plans on how to capture the lightning. Suddenly countries like Syria
and Libya and Sudan and Iran werecoming forward with offers of help,
which raised a vital question — should they stay on the same enemies
list as North Korea andIraq, or could there be a new slot for
”friendly” sponsors of terror?As a CIA analyst, Leverett had come to the view
that Middle Eastern
terrorism was more tactical than religious. Syria wanted the Golan
Heights back and didn’t have the militarystrength to put up a serious
fight against Israel, so it relied on ”asymmetrical methods.” Accepting
this idea meant that nationslike Syria weren’t locked in a fanatic
mind-set, that they could evolve to use new methods, so Leverett told
Powell to seize themoment and draw up a ”road map” to peace for the
problem countries of the Middle East — expel your terrorist groups and
stoptrying to develop weapons of mass destruction, and we will take
you off the sponsors-of-terrorism list and start a new eraof
cooperation.That December, just after the triumph over Afghanistan, Powell took
the idea to the White House.The occasion was the regular ”deputies
meeting” at the Situation Room. Gathered around the table were the
deputy secretary ofstate, the deputy secretary of defense, the deputy
director of the CIA, a representative from Vice-President Cheney’s
office, andalso the deputy national security advisor, Stephen Hadley.
Hadley hated the idea. So did the representatives from Rumsfeld
and
Cheney. They thought that it was a reward for bad behavior, that the
sponsors of terrorism should stop just because it’s theright thing to
do.After the meeting, Hadley wrote up a brief memo that came to be known as Hadley’s Rules:
If a
state like Syria or Iran offers specific assistance, we will
take it without offering anything in return. We will accept itwithout
strings or promises. We won’t try to build on it.Leverett thought that was simply nutty. To strike postures of
moral
purity, they were throwing away a chance for real progress. But just a
few days later, Condoleezza Rice called him into heroffice, warming
him up with talk of how classical music shaped their childhoods. As he
told her about the year he spent studyingclassical piano at the Liszt
Academy in Budapest, Leverett felt a real connection. Then she said she
was looking for someone totake the job of senior director of Mideast
affairs at the National Security Council, someone who would take a real
leadership roleon the Palestinian issue. Big changes were coming in
2002.He repeated his firm belief that the White House had to draw up
a
road map with real solutions to the division of Jerusalem and the
problem of refugees, something with final borders. That wasthe only
remedy to the crisis in the Middle East.Just after the New Year, Rice called and offered him the job.
The
bowl of grapes is empty and the plate of cheese moves to
the center of the table. Leverett’s teenage son comes in withquestions
about a teacher. Periodically, Mann interrupts herself. ”This is off
the record,” she says. ”This is going to have to beon background.”
She’s not allowed to talk about confidential documents or
intelligence matters, but the topic of hernegotiations with the
Iranians is especially touchy.”As far as they’re concerned, the whole idea that there were talks is
something I shouldn’t even be talking about,” she says.
All ranks and ranking are out. ”They don’t want there to be anything
about the level of the talks or who was involved.”
”They won’t even let us say something like ’senior’ or ‘important,’
‘high-ranking,’ or ‘high-level,’ ” Leverett says.
But the important thing is that the Iranians agreed to
talk
unconditionally, Mann says. ”They specifically told me time and again
that they were doing this because they understood theimpact of this
attack on the U.S., and they thought that if they helped us
unconditionally, that would be the way to change thedynamic for the
first time in twenty-five years.”She believed them.
But while Leverett was still moving into
the Old Executive Office
Building next to the White House, Mann was wrapped up in the crisis
over a ship called the KarinA that left Iran loaded with fifty tons of weapons. According to the Israeli navy, which intercepted the Karin A in
theRed Sea, it was headed for the PLO. In staff meetings at the White
House, Mann argued for caution. The Iranian government probablydidn’t
even know about the arms shipments. It was issuing official denials in
the most passionate way, even sending its deputyforeign minister onto
Fox News to say ”categorically” that ”all segments of the Iranian
government” had nothing to do with thearms shipment, which meant the
”total government, not simply President Khatami’s administration.”Bush
waited. Three weeks later, it was time for his 2002 State of
the Union address. Mann spent the morning in a meeting withCondoleezza
Rice and the new president of Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai, who kept
asking Rice for an expanded internationalpeacekeeping force. Rice kept
saying that the Afghans would have to solve their own problems. Then
they went off to join thepresident’s motorcade and Mann headed back to
her office to watch the speech on TV.That was the speech in
which Bush linked Iran to Iraq and North Korea with a memorable phrase:
”States like these, and their terrorist
allies, constitute an axis of evil, arming to threaten the peace of the world.”
The Iranians had been engaging
in high-level diplomacy with the
American government for more than a year, so the phrase was shocking
and profound.After that, the Iranian diplomats skipped the monthly meeting in
Geneva. But they came again in March. Andso did Mann. ”They said they
had put their necks out to talk to us and they were taking big risks
with their careers and theirfamilies and their lives,” Mann says.
The secret negotiations with Iran continued, every month for another
year.
Leverett plunged right into a dramatic new peace proposal floated by
Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia. Calling for”full normalization”
in exchange for ”full withdrawal” from the occupied territories,
Abdullah promised to rally all the Arabnations to a final settlement
with Israel. In his brand-new third-floor office at the Old Executive
Office Building, a tiny roomwith a very high ceiling, Leverett began
hammering out the details with Abdullah’s foreign-policy advisor, Adel
Al-Jubeir. WhenAriel Sharon said that a return to the ‘67 borders was
unacceptable, Al-Jubeir said the Saudis didn’t want to be in the”real
estate business” — if the Palestinians agreed to border modifications,
the Saudis could hardly refuse them. Al-Jubeirbelieved he had
something that might actually work.But the White House wasn’t interested. Sharon already rejected it, Rice
told Leverett.
At the Arab League meeting, Abdullah got every Arab state to sign his proposal in a unanimous vote.
The
White House still wasn’t interested.
Then violence in the Palestinian territories began to increase,
climaxing in an Israelisiege of Arafat’s compound. In April, Leverett
accompanied Colin Powell on a tour that took them from Morocco to Egypt
and Jordanand Lebanon and finally Israel. Twice they crossed the
Israeli-army lines to visit Arafat under siege. Powell seemed to think
hehad authorization from the White House to explore what everyone was
calling ”political horizons,” the safely vague shorthand for apeaceful
future, so on the final day Leverett holed up in a suite at the David
Citadel Hotel in Jerusalem with a group of seniorAmerican officials –
the U. . ambassador to Israel, the U. S. consul general to Jerusalem,
assistant secretary of state for NearEastern affairs Bill Burns –
trying to hammer out Powell’s last speech.Then the phone rang. It was Stephen Hadley on the
phone from the
White House. ”Tell Powell he is not authorized to talk about a
political horizon,” he said. ”Those are formalinstructions.”
”This is a bad idea,” Leverett remembers saying. ”It’s bad policy
and it’s also humiliating for Powell, whohas been talking to heads of
state about this very issue for the last ten days.””It doesn’t matter,” Hadley said. ”There’s
too much resistance from Rumsfeld and the VP. Those are the instructions.”
So Leverett went back into the suite and asked Powell
to step aside.
Powell was furious, Leverett remembers. ”What is it they’re afraid of?” he demanded. ”Who the hell are they
afraid of?”
”I don’t know sir,” Leverett said.
